Stock Analysis

WasteCo Group (NZSE:WCO) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

NZSE:WCO
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, WasteCo Group Limited (NZSE:WCO) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for WasteCo Group

What Is WasteCo Group's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, WasteCo Group had NZ$33.8m of debt, up from NZ$21.2m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has NZ$1.75m in cash leading to net debt of about NZ$32.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NZSE:WCO Debt to Equity History August 19th 2024

A Look At WasteCo Group's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that WasteCo Group had liabilities of NZ$17.7m due within a year, and liabilities of NZ$33.6m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of NZ$1.75m and NZ$6.82m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling NZ$42.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's NZ$32.2m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since WasteCo Group will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, WasteCo Group reported revenue of NZ$48m, which is a gain of 40%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

Caveat Emptor

While we can certainly appreciate WasteCo Group's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Indeed, it lost NZ$2.8m at the EBIT level. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it burned through NZ$2.4m in negative free cash flow over the last year. That means it's on the risky side of things. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 4 warning signs with WasteCo Group (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.