Stock Analysis

NEXT Biometrics Group (OB:NEXT) shareholder returns have been strong, earning 119% in 3 years

OB:NEXT
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It might seem bad, but the worst that can happen when you buy a stock (without leverage) is that its share price goes to zero. But if you buy shares in a really great company, you can more than double your money. For example, the NEXT Biometrics Group ASA (OB:NEXT) share price has soared 119% in the last three years. Most would be happy with that. Also pleasing for shareholders was the 30% gain in the last three months.

On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.

See our latest analysis for NEXT Biometrics Group

NEXT Biometrics Group wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.

In the last 3 years NEXT Biometrics Group saw its revenue shrink by 12% per year. So we wouldn't have expected the share price to gain 30% per year, but it has. It's a good reminder that expectations about the future, not the past history, always impact share prices.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
OB:NEXT Earnings and Revenue Growth January 7th 2024

If you are thinking of buying or selling NEXT Biometrics Group stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that NEXT Biometrics Group shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 79% over one year. Notably the five-year annualised TSR loss of 10% per year compares very unfavourably with the recent share price performance. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for NEXT Biometrics Group that you should be aware of before investing here.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Norwegian exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if NEXT Biometrics Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.