Stock Analysis

If You Like EPS Growth Then Check Out Napatech (OB:NAPA) Before It's Too Late

OB:NAPA
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Some have more dollars than sense, they say, so even companies that have no revenue, no profit, and a record of falling short, can easily find investors. Unfortunately, high risk investments often have little probability of ever paying off, and many investors pay a price to learn their lesson.

In the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, my choice may seem old fashioned; I still prefer profitable companies like Napatech (OB:NAPA). While that doesn't make the shares worth buying at any price, you can't deny that successful capitalism requires profit, eventually. Conversely, a loss-making company is yet to prove itself with profit, and eventually the sweet milk of external capital may run sour.

See our latest analysis for Napatech

How Fast Is Napatech Growing Its Earnings Per Share?

Over the last three years, Napatech has grown earnings per share (EPS) like young bamboo after rain; fast, and from a low base. So I don't think the percent growth rate is particularly meaningful. Thus, it makes sense to focus on more recent growth rates, instead. Like the last firework on New Year's Eve accelerating into the sky, Napatech's EPS shot from kr.0.12 to kr.0.34, over the last year. Year on year growth of 197% is certainly a sight to behold.

I like to see top-line growth as an indication that growth is sustainable, and I look for a high earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin to point to a competitive moat (though some companies with low margins also have moats). Napatech maintained stable EBIT margins over the last year, all while growing revenue 4.3% to kr.201m. That's progress.

In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings, and revenue, over time. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
OB:NAPA Earnings and Revenue History May 25th 2022

Napatech isn't a huge company, given its market capitalization of kr954m. That makes it extra important to check on its balance sheet strength.

Are Napatech Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Like standing at the lookout, surveying the horizon at sunrise, insider buying, for some investors, sparks joy. This view is based on the possibility that stock purchases signal bullishness on behalf of the buyer. However, insiders are sometimes wrong, and we don't know the exact thinking behind their acquisitions.

Insiders both bought and sold Napatech shares in the last year, but the good news is they spent kr.257k more buying than they netted selling. So, on balance, the insider transactions are mildly encouraging. Zooming in, we can see that the biggest insider purchase was by Independent Chairman Lars Boilesen for kr331k worth of shares, at about kr8.54 per share.

Should You Add Napatech To Your Watchlist?

Napatech's earnings have taken off like any random crypto-currency did, back in 2017. Growth investors should find it difficult to look past that strong EPS move. And in fact, it could well signal a fundamental shift in the business economics. For me, this situation certainly piques my interest. We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Napatech (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you need to be mindful of.

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. So if you like the sound of Napatech, you'll probably love this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Napatech might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.