Stock Analysis

Will Weakness in Atea ASA's (OB:ATEA) Stock Prove Temporary Given Strong Fundamentals?

OB:ATEA
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Atea (OB:ATEA) has had a rough three months with its share price down 8.5%. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Specifically, we decided to study Atea's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

See our latest analysis for Atea

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Atea is:

20% = kr850m ÷ kr4.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every NOK1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn NOK0.20 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Atea's Earnings Growth And 20% ROE

To start with, Atea's ROE looks acceptable. And on comparing with the industry, we found that the the average industry ROE is similar at 20%. This certainly adds some context to Atea's moderate 15% net income growth seen over the past five years.

As a next step, we compared Atea's net income growth with the industry and found that the company has a similar growth figure when compared with the industry average growth rate of 15% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
OB:ATEA Past Earnings Growth January 9th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is ATEA fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Atea Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 80% (or a retention ratio of 20%) for Atea suggests that the company's growth wasn't really hampered despite it returning most of its income to its shareholders.

Besides, Atea has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 75%. Still, forecasts suggest that Atea's future ROE will rise to 25% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

Summary

In total, we are pretty happy with Atea's performance. We are particularly impressed by the considerable earnings growth posted by the company, which was likely backed by its high ROE. While the company is paying out most of its earnings as dividends, it has been able to grow its earnings in spite of it, so that's probably a good sign. The latest industry analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to maintain its current growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.