Arribatec Group (OB:ARR shareholders incur further losses as stock declines 12% this week, taking three-year losses to 11%
It is doubtless a positive to see that the Arribatec Group ASA (OB:ARR) share price has gained some 40% in the last three months. But that cannot eclipse the less-than-impressive returns over the last three years. After all, the share price is down 77% in the last three years, significantly under-performing the market.
Since Arribatec Group has shed kr52m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.
Because Arribatec Group made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally hope to see good revenue growth. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one would hope for good top-line growth to make up for the lack of earnings.
Over three years, Arribatec Group grew revenue at 6.8% per year. That's not a very high growth rate considering it doesn't make profits. But the share price crash at 21% per year does seem a bit harsh! While we're definitely wary of the stock, after that kind of performance, it could be an over-reaction. Of course, revenue growth is nice but generally speaking the lower the profits, the riskier the business - and this business isn't making steady profits.
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
It's good to see that there was some significant insider buying in the last three months. That's a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. If you are thinking of buying or selling Arribatec Group stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
We've already covered Arribatec Group's share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR attempts to capture the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings offered to shareholders. Arribatec Group hasn't been paying dividends, but its TSR of -11% exceeds its share price return of -77%, implying it has either spun-off a business, or raised capital at a discount; thereby providing additional value to shareholders.
A Different Perspective
It's nice to see that Arribatec Group shareholders have gained 141% (in total) over the last year. This recent result is much better than the 4% drop suffered by shareholders each year (on average) over the last three. We're generally cautious about putting too much weigh on shorter term data, but the recent improvement is definitely a positive. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Arribatec Group is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit concerning...
There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of undervalued small cap companies that insiders are buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Norwegian exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OB:ARR
Arribatec Group
A software and consulting company, provides digital business solutions in Norway, Europe, the Americas, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with slight risk.
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