Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap (OB:OLT) Is Using Debt Extensively

OB:OLT
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap ASA (OB:OLT) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap

What Is Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap had kr21.1b of debt in December 2021, down from kr22.8b, one year before. However, it also had kr448.0m in cash, and so its net debt is kr20.7b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OB:OLT Debt to Equity History March 4th 2022

A Look At Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap had liabilities of kr5.41b due within a year, and liabilities of kr25.7b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had kr448.0m in cash and kr988.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling kr29.6b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the kr19.2b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

As it happens Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap has a fairly concerning net debt to EBITDA ratio of 7.2 but very strong interest coverage of 1k. This means that unless the company has access to very cheap debt, that interest expense will likely grow in the future. If Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap can keep growing EBIT at last year's rate of 16% over the last year, then it will find its debt load easier to manage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap recorded free cash flow worth 57% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

To be frank both Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap's level of total liabilities and its track record of managing its debt, based on its EBITDA, make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those can't be ignored...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.