Stock Analysis

If You Had Bought Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap (OB:OLT) Shares Five Years Ago You'd Have Earned 24% Returns

OB:OLT
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When you buy and hold a stock for the long term, you definitely want it to provide a positive return. But more than that, you probably want to see it rise more than the market average. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap ASA (OB:OLT) share price is up 24% in the last five years, that's less than the market return. Looking at the last year alone, the stock is up 6.1%.

Check out our latest analysis for Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap's earnings per share are down 28% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years. The impact of extraordinary items on earnings, in the last year, partially explain the diversion.

Since the EPS are down strongly, it seems highly unlikely market participants are looking at EPS to value the company. Given that EPS is down, but the share price is up, it seems clear the market is focussed on other aspects of the business, at the moment.

In contrast revenue growth of 4.1% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap is growing, a real positive. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
OB:OLT Earnings and Revenue Growth December 14th 2020

It's good to see that there was some significant insider buying in the last three months. That's a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. You can see what analysts are predicting for Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. The TSR attempts to capture the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings offered to shareholders. Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap's TSR of 32% for the 5 years exceeded its share price return, because it has paid dividends.

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 6.1% over the last year. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 6%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on NO exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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