Yara International ASA's (OB:YAR) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 31.8x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Norway, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 11x and even P/E's below 6x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Yara International's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Yara International
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Yara International.How Is Yara International's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Yara International's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 73% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 76% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 38% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 25% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Yara International is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From Yara International's P/E?
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Yara International's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Yara International, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Yara International, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place
We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.
• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OB:YAR
Yara International
Provides crop nutrition and industrial solutions in Norway, European Union, Europe, Africa, Asia, North and Latin America, Australia, and New Zealand.
Undervalued with adequate balance sheet.