Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Vow Green Metals AS (OB:VGM) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for Vow Green Metals
How Much Debt Does Vow Green Metals Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2023 Vow Green Metals had debt of kr70.6m, up from none in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of kr41.3m, its net debt is less, at about kr29.2m.
How Strong Is Vow Green Metals' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Vow Green Metals had liabilities of kr32.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of kr50.6m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of kr41.3m and kr4.97m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by kr36.9m.
Of course, Vow Green Metals has a market capitalization of kr280.9m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Vow Green Metals's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Since Vow Green Metals has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Vow Green Metals produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at kr25m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through kr59m of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Vow Green Metals is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 3 of those shouldn't be ignored...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OB:VGM
Vow Green Metals
Produces and sells biocarbon and CO2 neutral gas in Norway.
Excellent balance sheet moderate.