Gjensidige Forsikring Valuation

Is GJF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GJF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GJF (NOK179.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (NOK308.59)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GJF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GJF?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

GJF key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA19.9x
PEG Ratio1.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GJF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GJF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.9x
PROT Protector Forsikring
13.7x8.9%kr18.3b
STB Storebrand
14.7x7.4%kr47.2b
AIZ Assurant
14.1x13.3%US$9.1b
MAP Mapfre
9.1x7.4%€6.9b
GJF Gjensidige Forsikring
22.1x12.7%kr89.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GJF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.1x) compared to the peer average (12.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GJF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Insurance Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GJF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.1x) compared to the European Insurance industry average (11.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GJF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GJF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.1x
Fair PE Ratio18x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GJF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GJF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentkr178.70
kr188.35
+5.4%
10.0%kr220.00kr154.00n/a14
Apr ’25kr157.20
kr190.16
+21.0%
11.8%kr245.00kr155.00n/a14
Mar ’25kr169.80
kr190.16
+12.0%
11.8%kr245.00kr155.00n/a14
Feb ’25kr168.40
kr194.38
+15.4%
10.0%kr245.00kr165.30n/a14
Jan ’25kr187.50
kr192.54
+2.7%
12.8%kr245.00kr140.50n/a14
Dec ’24kr182.90
kr193.27
+5.7%
13.1%kr245.00kr140.50n/a13
Nov ’24kr169.20
kr187.27
+10.7%
13.0%kr240.00kr140.50n/a13
Oct ’24kr157.50
kr187.94
+19.3%
12.4%kr240.00kr156.00n/a14
Sep ’24kr164.30
kr189.02
+15.0%
14.3%kr256.00kr156.00n/a13
Aug ’24kr161.30
kr189.02
+17.2%
14.3%kr256.00kr156.00n/a13
Jul ’24kr171.80
kr200.19
+16.5%
11.7%kr257.00kr159.00n/a14
Jun ’24kr180.00
kr200.98
+11.7%
11.0%kr257.00kr162.70n/a14
May ’24kr185.30
kr202.16
+9.1%
10.9%kr257.00kr168.10kr178.7013
Apr ’24kr171.30
kr196.85
+14.9%
10.9%kr220.00kr150.00kr157.2013
Mar ’24kr186.50
kr203.78
+9.3%
12.6%kr260.00kr150.00kr169.8013
Feb ’24kr180.90
kr205.08
+13.4%
13.0%kr260.00kr150.00kr168.4013
Jan ’24kr192.20
kr207.45
+7.9%
12.2%kr260.00kr158.00kr187.5013
Dec ’23kr191.10
kr209.45
+9.6%
11.6%kr260.00kr158.00kr182.9013
Nov ’23kr188.00
kr211.84
+12.7%
11.9%kr263.00kr158.00kr169.2014
Oct ’23kr187.00
kr220.29
+17.8%
8.8%kr263.00kr179.80kr157.5013
Sep ’23kr203.40
kr219.68
+8.0%
8.5%kr260.00kr179.80kr164.3013
Aug ’23kr200.80
kr219.68
+9.4%
8.5%kr260.00kr179.80kr161.3013
Jul ’23kr205.20
kr225.54
+9.9%
6.7%kr260.00kr207.00kr171.8012
Jun ’23kr199.40
kr226.88
+13.8%
5.8%kr255.00kr207.00kr180.0012
May ’23kr201.60
kr226.50
+12.4%
6.5%kr255.00kr202.00kr185.3013

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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