Mapfre Valuation

Is MAP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MAP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MAP (€2.59) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€4.81)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MAP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MAP?

Key metric: As MAP is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MAP. This is calculated by dividing MAP's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MAP's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.4x
Earnings€842.30m
Market Cap€7.85b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MAP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MAP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.5x
GCO Grupo Catalana Occidente
6.9x-1.3%€4.3b
LDA Línea Directa Aseguradora Compañía de Seguros y Reaseguros
24.1x22.3%€1.2b
GJF Gjensidige Forsikring
19.7x13.3%NOK 96.1b
PZU Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen
7.4x1.2%zł34.5b
MAP Mapfre
9.4x5.6%€7.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MAP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.4x) compared to the peer average (14.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MAP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Insurance Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MAP 9.4xIndustry Avg. 11.7xNo. of Companies12PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MAP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.4x) compared to the European Insurance industry average (11.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MAP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MAP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.4x
Fair PE Ratio12.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MAP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MAP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€2.59
€2.64
+2.0%
12.9%€3.20€2.15n/a10
Nov ’25€2.62
€2.62
+0.04%
13.9%€3.20€2.07n/a10
Oct ’25€2.39
€2.60
+8.7%
11.1%€3.10€2.07n/a9
Sep ’25€2.28
€2.60
+14.2%
11.2%€3.10€2.06n/a9
Aug ’25€2.19
€2.60
+18.7%
11.2%€3.10€2.06n/a9
Jul ’25€2.17
€2.48
+14.0%
15.0%€2.90€1.79n/a10
Jun ’25€2.21
€2.46
+11.1%
15.7%€2.90€1.79n/a9
May ’25€2.26
€2.45
+8.3%
16.8%€2.90€1.79n/a8
Apr ’25€2.34
€2.45
+4.6%
17.1%€3.00€1.79n/a8
Mar ’25€1.97
€2.38
+20.3%
17.1%€3.00€1.79n/a8
Feb ’25€2.03
€2.38
+17.1%
17.1%€3.00€1.79n/a8
Jan ’25€1.94
€2.38
+22.4%
17.5%€3.00€1.70n/a8
Dec ’24€2.03
€2.38
+17.1%
17.5%€3.00€1.70n/a8
Nov ’24€1.95
€2.36
+20.9%
18.7%€3.00€1.70€2.628
Oct ’24€1.93
€2.26
+17.3%
17.7%€3.00€1.73€2.399
Sep ’24€1.96
€2.26
+15.5%
18.0%€3.00€1.73€2.289
Aug ’24€1.88
€2.26
+20.3%
18.0%€3.00€1.73€2.199
Jul ’24€1.82
€2.21
+21.3%
19.3%€3.00€1.62€2.1710
Jun ’24€1.84
€2.18
+18.4%
20.5%€3.00€1.62€2.219
May ’24€1.82
€2.16
+18.8%
19.0%€2.80€1.62€2.269
Apr ’24€1.86
€2.19
+17.7%
17.4%€2.80€1.70€2.349
Mar ’24€2.04
€2.17
+6.7%
16.7%€2.80€1.70€1.9710
Feb ’24€1.85
€2.14
+16.0%
16.7%€2.80€1.70€2.0310
Jan ’24€1.81
€2.16
+19.2%
14.9%€2.80€1.75€1.9410
Dec ’23€1.81
€2.06
+13.8%
13.0%€2.60€1.75€2.039
Nov ’23€1.76
€2.01
+14.5%
13.8%€2.60€1.60€1.9510

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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