Mapfre, S.A.

BME:MAP Stock Report

Market Cap: €13.5b

Mapfre Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Mapfre's revenue is forecast to decline at 3.2% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 3.7% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 3.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 12.4% in 3 years.

Key information

3.7%

Earnings growth rate

3.68%

EPS growth rate

Insurance earnings growth5.7%
Revenue growth rate-3.2%
Future return on equity12.42%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated08 Jul 2026

Recent future growth updates

Analysis Article • Jul 27

Mapfre, S.A. (BME:MAP) Just Released Its Half-Yearly Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think

The half-yearly results for Mapfre, S.A. ( BME:MAP ) were released last week, making it a good time to revisit its...

Recent updates

Narrative Update • Jul 01

MAP: Fair Value View Will Rely On Updated P/E And Discount Rate

Analysts have slightly raised their price target on Mapfre to €4.57 from €4.30, citing updated assumptions around the stock's fair value, discount rate, expected revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiple. What’s in the News for Mapfre No recent company-specific news items for Mapfre were provided in the available sources.
Narrative Update • Jun 16

MAP: Premium Strength And Margin Gains Will Mask Overvaluation Risk

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Mapfre from €2.51 to €3.65, citing updated assumptions that include a slightly lower discount rate, weaker expectations for revenue, a higher profit margin, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. What’s in the News for Mapfre Mapfre presented its 2024 income statement with premium growth expected at 6.6% at constant exchange rates, according to recent company disclosures.
Narrative Update • Jun 02

MAP: Margin Resilience And Adjusted Revenue Outlook Will Shape Future Performance

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Mapfre slightly higher from €3.92 to €3.98, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue trends and margins that also feed into a refreshed future P/E view. What's in the News No recent news items, periodical coverage, or key developments were provided for Mapfre, so there are currently no specific events to highlight for you.
Narrative Update • Feb 03

MAP: Future P/E Reset And €4.30 Reference Will Guide Neutral Stance

Analysts have revised their price target on Mapfre to €4.30, in line with the prior €4.30 fair value estimate, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, slightly higher profit margins and a lower future P/E multiple. Recent UBS coverage with a bearish stance adds a more cautious tone to the outlook.
Narrative Update • Jan 19

MAP: Neutral Stance Will Depend On €4.15 Reference And P/E Assumptions

Narrative Update on Mapfre Analysts now see more limited upside for Mapfre, with the latest Street research pointing to a revised price target of €4.15. This reflects a more cautious stance despite only marginal adjustments to revenue growth, profit margin assumptions and the forward P/E of 12.86x.
Analysis Article • Jan 12

Insufficient Growth At Mapfre, S.A. (BME:MAP) Hampers Share Price

Mapfre, S.A.'s ( BME:MAP ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.4x might make it look like a buy right now compared...
Narrative Update • Jan 05

MAP: Neutral Outlook Will Rely On Margins And P/E Assumptions

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Mapfre to €4.30 from €4.00, aligning their updated price target with a more cautious Neutral stance and modest tweaks to the discount rate, revenue growth, margin, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more balanced stance on Mapfre, with the fair value estimate raised to €4.30 while the rating shifts to Neutral.
Narrative Update • Dec 15

MAP: Margin Resilience And Slower Growth Expectations Will Shape Future Performance

Analysts have reduced their price target on Mapfre from EUR 4.15 to EUR 3.92. This reflects expectations for slower top line growth, partially offset by a modest improvement in profitability and a slightly lower future earnings multiple.
Narrative Update • Dec 01

MAP: Margin Improvement And Sector Downgrade Will Shape Near-Term Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target for Mapfre slightly, from €3.89 to €3.92. This reflects a modest improvement in projected profit margins, despite subdued revenue growth expectations and a recent sector downgrade.
Analysis Article • Nov 25

Mapfre (BME:MAP) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of €0.057

The board of Mapfre, S.A. ( BME:MAP ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of €0.057 per share on the 28th of...
Narrative Update • Nov 17

MAP: Cost Focus And Digital Shifts Will Shape Near-Term Performance

Narrative Update on Mapfre: Revised Analyst Price Target Analysts have lowered their fair value estimate for Mapfre from €3.42 to €3.89, citing a more cautious outlook based on moderating revenue growth and updated research sentiment. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts note that Mapfre's established market presence and diversified portfolio support stable earnings, which can underpin the current valuation levels.
Analysis Article • Oct 12

With EPS Growth And More, Mapfre (BME:MAP) Makes An Interesting Case

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...
Analysis Article • Aug 27

There's No Escaping Mapfre, S.A.'s (BME:MAP) Muted Earnings

When close to half the companies in Spain have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 20x, you may consider...
Analysis Article • Jul 27

Mapfre, S.A. (BME:MAP) Just Released Its Half-Yearly Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think

The half-yearly results for Mapfre, S.A. ( BME:MAP ) were released last week, making it a good time to revisit its...
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New Narrative • Feb 23

Strong Capital Base And Diversification Will Support Future Success In Insurance Sector

Strategic focus on profitable growth and diversification could positively influence future earnings and earnings stability.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

BME:MAP - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202828,1161,317N/AN/A2
12/31/202728,8691,278N/AN/A4
12/31/202629,6781,259N/AN/A3
3/31/202629,9321,168N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202530,0161,1331,4241,641N/A
9/30/202530,3831,143N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202529,0501,0691,6721,970N/A
3/31/202529,4411,027N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202429,2449681,2121,499N/A
9/30/202433,520842N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202429,9138719951,212N/A
3/31/202429,293766N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202328,9856771,3991,617N/A
9/30/202317,801660N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202326,3215571,1441,357N/A
3/31/202322,368615N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202226,415564347577N/A
9/30/202220,464729N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202224,148708992N/A
3/31/202219,884746N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202119,840765-364-486N/A
9/30/202119,407601N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202119,056620-1,239-951N/A
3/31/202118,591573N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202018,511527-884-596N/A
9/30/202019,441597N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202020,353505-56127N/A
3/31/202021,211548N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201922,124609N/A-37N/A
9/30/201921,576463N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201921,612518N/A86N/A
3/31/201921,566530N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201821,285529N/A432N/A
9/30/201821,497785N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201821,223671N/A255N/A
3/31/201821,328681N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201721,984701N/A454N/A
9/30/201721,969648N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201722,220810N/A-49N/A
3/31/201722,333790N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201621,821775N/A159N/A
9/30/201621,314689N/AN/AN/A
6/30/201620,872619N/A666N/A
3/31/201620,328534N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201520,641522N/A-213N/A
9/30/201521,585627N/AN/AN/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MAP's forecast earnings growth (3.7% per year) is above the savings rate (2.7%).

Earnings vs Market: MAP's earnings (3.7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Spanish market (11.4% per year).

High Growth Earnings: MAP's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: MAP's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-3.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MAP's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-3.2% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MAP's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.4%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/13 11:24
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/10 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Mapfre, S.A. is covered by 22 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Maria del Paz Ojeda FernandezBanco de Sabadell. S.A.
null nullBanco de Sabadell. S.A.
Juan Lopez CoboBanco Santander