Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About Nordic Aqua Partners' (OB:NOAP) Cash Burn Situation
There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. But the harsh reality is that very many loss making companies burn through all their cash and go bankrupt.
So should Nordic Aqua Partners (OB:NOAP) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.
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How Long Is Nordic Aqua Partners' Cash Runway?
A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. As at December 2020, Nordic Aqua Partners had cash of kr.400m and no debt. Importantly, its cash burn was kr.30m over the trailing twelve months. So it had a very long cash runway of many years from December 2020. While this is only one measure of its cash burn situation, it certainly gives us the impression that holders have nothing to worry about. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.
How Is Nordic Aqua Partners' Cash Burn Changing Over Time?
Nordic Aqua Partners didn't record any revenue over the last year, indicating that it's an early stage company still developing its business. So while we can't look to sales to understand growth, we can look at how the cash burn is changing to understand how expenditure is trending over time. Remarkably, it actually increased its cash burn by 503% in the last year. That kind of sharp increase in spending may pay off, but is generally considered quite risky. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.
How Hard Would It Be For Nordic Aqua Partners To Raise More Cash For Growth?
While Nordic Aqua Partners does have a solid cash runway, its cash burn trajectory may have some shareholders thinking ahead to when the company may need to raise more cash. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.
Nordic Aqua Partners' cash burn of kr.30m is about 7.0% of its kr.424m market capitalisation. That's a low proportion, so we figure the company would be able to raise more cash to fund growth, with a little dilution, or even to simply borrow some money.
Is Nordic Aqua Partners' Cash Burn A Worry?
It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way Nordic Aqua Partners is burning through its cash. For example, we think its cash runway suggests that the company is on a good path. Although we do find its increasing cash burn to be a bit of a negative, once we consider the other metrics mentioned in this article together, the overall picture is one we are comfortable with. Considering all the factors discussed in this article, we're not overly concerned about the company's cash burn, although we do think shareholders should keep an eye on how it develops. On another note, Nordic Aqua Partners has 5 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.
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About OB:NOAP
Nordic Aqua Partners
Together with its subsidiary, primarily engages in the land-based Atlantic salmon farming in the People’s Republic of China.
Fair value with mediocre balance sheet.