Stock Analysis

Norcod AS' (OB:NCOD) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 77% Share Price Bounce

OB:NCOD
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Norcod AS (OB:NCOD) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 77% gain in the last month alone. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 15% in the last twelve months.

After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in Norway's Food industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.4x, you may consider Norcod as a stock to avoid entirely with its 4.7x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Norcod

ps-multiple-vs-industry
OB:NCOD Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 26th 2024

How Norcod Has Been Performing

Revenue has risen firmly for Norcod recently, which is pleasing to see. Perhaps the market is expecting this decent revenue performance to beat out the industry over the near term, which has kept the P/S propped up. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Norcod will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Norcod's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Norcod would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 24% gain to the company's top line. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 11% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in consideration, it's not hard to understand why Norcod's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Final Word

Norcod's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Norcod maintains its high P/S on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider industry forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential continued revenue growth in the future is great enough to warrant an inflated P/S. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Norcod that you need to be mindful of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Norcod, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Norcod might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.