The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies P/F Bakkafrost (OB:BAKKA) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for P/F Bakkafrost
How Much Debt Does P/F Bakkafrost Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 P/F Bakkafrost had debt of kr.3.42b, up from kr.2.99b in one year. On the flip side, it has kr.370.4m in cash leading to net debt of about kr.3.04b.
A Look At P/F Bakkafrost's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, P/F Bakkafrost had liabilities of kr.987.2m due within 12 months, and liabilities of kr.5.78b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of kr.370.4m as well as receivables valued at kr.1.12b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling kr.5.27b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
P/F Bakkafrost has a market capitalization of kr.23.0b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
P/F Bakkafrost's debt is 2.7 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 4.5 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Shareholders should be aware that P/F Bakkafrost's EBIT was down 64% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine P/F Bakkafrost's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Considering the last three years, P/F Bakkafrost actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.
Our View
Mulling over P/F Bakkafrost's attempt at (not) growing its EBIT, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But at least its level of total liabilities is not so bad. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that P/F Bakkafrost's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for P/F Bakkafrost you should know about.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OB:BAKKA
P/F Bakkafrost
Produces and sells salmon products in North America, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, Asia, and internationally.
Solid track record with reasonable growth potential.