When it comes to investing, there are some useful financial metrics that can warn us when a business is potentially in trouble. Typically, we'll see the trend of both return on capital employed (ROCE) declining and this usually coincides with a decreasing amount of capital employed. Trends like this ultimately mean the business is reducing its investments and also earning less on what it has invested. In light of that, from a first glance at Shelf Drilling (OB:SHLF), we've spotted some signs that it could be struggling, so let's investigate.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Shelf Drilling, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.036 = US$52m ÷ (US$1.6b - US$159m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2021).
Therefore, Shelf Drilling has an ROCE of 3.6%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Energy Services industry average of 4.9%.
Check out our latest analysis for Shelf Drilling
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Shelf Drilling compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Shelf Drilling here for free.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
There is reason to be cautious about Shelf Drilling, given the returns are trending downwards. To be more specific, the ROCE was 8.3% five years ago, but since then it has dropped noticeably. And on the capital employed front, the business is utilizing roughly the same amount of capital as it was back then. Since returns are falling and the business has the same amount of assets employed, this can suggest it's a mature business that hasn't had much growth in the last five years. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect Shelf Drilling to turn into a multi-bagger.
In Conclusion...
In summary, it's unfortunate that Shelf Drilling is generating lower returns from the same amount of capital. It should come as no surprise then that the stock has fallen 68% over the last three years, so it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. Unless there is a shift to a more positive trajectory in these metrics, we would look elsewhere.
Shelf Drilling does come with some risks though, we found 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is concerning...
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OB:SHLF
Shelf Drilling
Operates as a shallow water offshore drilling contractor in the Middle East, North Africa, the Mediterranean, Southeast Asia, India, West Africa, and North Sea.
Undervalued with high growth potential.