Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Okeanis Eco Tankers (OB:OET) Is Using Debt In A Risky Way

OB:OET
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp. (OB:OET) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Okeanis Eco Tankers

What Is Okeanis Eco Tankers's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Okeanis Eco Tankers had US$577.7m of debt in December 2021, down from US$836.0m, one year before. On the flip side, it has US$38.2m in cash leading to net debt of about US$539.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OB:OET Debt to Equity History April 6th 2022

A Look At Okeanis Eco Tankers' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Okeanis Eco Tankers had liabilities of US$61.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$534.8m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$38.2m in cash and US$8.39m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$549.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$343.9m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Okeanis Eco Tankers would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Weak interest cover of 0.87 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 7.9 hit our confidence in Okeanis Eco Tankers like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Even worse, Okeanis Eco Tankers saw its EBIT tank 77% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Okeanis Eco Tankers's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Okeanis Eco Tankers saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Okeanis Eco Tankers's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And furthermore, its net debt to EBITDA also fails to instill confidence. Considering everything we've mentioned above, it's fair to say that Okeanis Eco Tankers is carrying heavy debt load. If you harvest honey without a bee suit, you risk getting stung, so we'd probably stay away from this particular stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with Okeanis Eco Tankers (at least 2 which are significant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.