Stock Analysis

Does Odfjell Drilling (OB:ODL) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

OB:ODL
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Odfjell Drilling Ltd. (OB:ODL) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Odfjell Drilling

What Is Odfjell Drilling's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Odfjell Drilling had debt of US$1.13b at the end of June 2021, a reduction from US$1.33b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$137.4m, its net debt is less, at about US$993.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OB:ODL Debt to Equity History October 30th 2021

A Look At Odfjell Drilling's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Odfjell Drilling had liabilities of US$331.1m due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.01b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$137.4m as well as receivables valued at US$188.9m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$1.01b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$614.9m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Odfjell Drilling would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Odfjell Drilling has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.7 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.3 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Looking on the bright side, Odfjell Drilling boosted its EBIT by a silky 47% in the last year. Like a mother's loving embrace of a newborn that sort of growth builds resilience, putting the company in a stronger position to manage its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Odfjell Drilling can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Odfjell Drilling created free cash flow amounting to 19% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

Mulling over Odfjell Drilling's attempt at staying on top of its total liabilities, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Odfjell Drilling's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Odfjell Drilling (at least 1 which is concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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