DNO ASA

OB:DNO Stock Report

Market Cap: NOK 9.8b

DNO Valuation

Is DNO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DNO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DNO (NOK10.02) is trading below our estimate of fair value (NOK38.15)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DNO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DNO?

Key metric: As DNO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DNO. This is calculated by dividing DNO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DNO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.4x
EarningsUS$75.40m
Market CapUS$862.36m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DNO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DNO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.4x
BNOR BlueNord
36.2x50.9%NOK 16.3b
BWE BW Energy
3x7.2%NOK 6.5b
PEN Panoro Energy
9.3x32.8%NOK 3.0b
VAR Vår Energi
13x16.7%NOK 84.9b
DNO DNO
11.4x15.3%NOK 9.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DNO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the peer average (15.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DNO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DNO 11.4xIndustry Avg. 8.3xNo. of Companies18PE0612182430+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DNO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (8.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DNO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DNO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.4x
Fair PE Ratio10.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DNO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DNO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentNOK 10.02
NOK 15.38
+53.4%
16.2%NOK 18.00NOK 11.50n/a4
Dec ’25NOK 10.21
NOK 15.38
+50.6%
16.2%NOK 18.00NOK 11.50n/a4
Nov ’25NOK 10.70
NOK 15.50
+44.9%
14.8%NOK 18.00NOK 12.00n/a4
Oct ’25NOK 11.71
NOK 15.75
+34.5%
14.5%NOK 18.00NOK 12.00n/a4
Sep ’25NOK 11.89
NOK 14.63
+23.0%
19.8%NOK 18.00NOK 11.50n/a4
Aug ’25NOK 11.07
NOK 14.63
+32.1%
19.8%NOK 18.00NOK 11.50n/a4
Jul ’25NOK 11.36
NOK 14.38
+26.5%
19.0%NOK 18.00NOK 11.50n/a4
Jun ’25NOK 11.68
NOK 14.00
+19.9%
22.6%NOK 18.00NOK 10.00n/a4
May ’25NOK 10.41
NOK 14.00
+34.5%
22.6%NOK 18.00NOK 10.00n/a4
Apr ’25NOK 9.75
NOK 14.00
+43.6%
22.6%NOK 18.00NOK 10.00n/a4
Mar ’25NOK 9.18
NOK 14.38
+56.6%
19.0%NOK 18.00NOK 11.50n/a4
Feb ’25NOK 9.21
NOK 15.13
+64.3%
25.2%NOK 21.00NOK 11.50n/a4
Jan ’25NOK 10.07
NOK 15.50
+53.9%
25.9%NOK 21.00NOK 11.50n/a3
Dec ’24NOK 10.29
NOK 15.50
+50.6%
25.9%NOK 21.00NOK 11.50NOK 10.213
Nov ’24NOK 11.31
NOK 15.33
+35.6%
26.3%NOK 21.00NOK 12.00NOK 10.703
Oct ’24NOK 10.57
NOK 15.33
+45.1%
26.3%NOK 21.00NOK 12.00NOK 11.713
Sep ’24NOK 10.19
NOK 15.33
+50.5%
26.3%NOK 21.00NOK 12.00NOK 11.893
Aug ’24NOK 11.11
NOK 16.67
+50.0%
27.9%NOK 23.00NOK 12.00NOK 11.073
Jul ’24NOK 9.46
NOK 18.00
+90.4%
25.8%NOK 23.00NOK 12.00NOK 11.364
Jun ’24NOK 10.01
NOK 18.38
+83.6%
22.7%NOK 23.00NOK 13.50NOK 11.684
May ’24NOK 10.62
NOK 19.63
+84.8%
15.0%NOK 23.00NOK 16.00NOK 10.414
Apr ’24NOK 10.27
NOK 18.50
+80.1%
13.8%NOK 22.00NOK 16.00NOK 9.753
Mar ’24NOK 12.08
NOK 18.50
+53.1%
13.8%NOK 22.00NOK 16.00NOK 9.183
Feb ’24NOK 12.28
NOK 18.50
+50.7%
13.8%NOK 22.00NOK 16.00NOK 9.213
Jan ’24NOK 11.81
NOK 18.50
+56.6%
13.8%NOK 22.00NOK 16.00NOK 10.073
Dec ’23NOK 12.57
NOK 18.50
+47.2%
13.8%NOK 22.00NOK 16.00NOK 10.293

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 00:48
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

DNO ASA is covered by 33 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Trond OmdalArctic Securities ASA
Carl BachkeBeringer Finance AB
Rafal GutajBofA Global Research