Stock Analysis

Archer Limited's (OB:ARCH) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 25%

OB:ARCH
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The Archer Limited (OB:ARCH) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 25%. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 13% is also fairly reasonable.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, considering around half the companies operating in Norway's Energy Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.2x, you may still consider Archer as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Archer

ps-multiple-vs-industry
OB:ARCH Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 31st 2024

What Does Archer's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times haven't been great for Archer as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Archer will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Archer?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Archer would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 19%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 37% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the two analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 21% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 24% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we can see why Archer is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Archer's P/S close to the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Archer maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Archer (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Archer, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Archer is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.