Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Aker BP ASA (OB:AKRBP) After Its Full-Year Results

As you might know, Aker BP ASA (OB:AKRBP) recently reported its full-year numbers. It was a credible result overall, with revenues of US$12b and statutory earnings per share of US$2.86 both in line with analyst estimates, showing that Aker BP is executing in line with expectations. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

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Taking into account the latest results, the 17 analysts covering Aker BP provided consensus estimates of US$11.3b revenue in 2025, which would reflect a not inconsiderable 9.0% decline over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to dip 5.7% to US$2.73 in the same period. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$10.9b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$2.68 in 2025. There doesn't appear to have been a major change in sentiment following the results, other than the small increase to revenue estimates.

Check out our latest analysis for Aker BP

It may not be a surprise to see thatthe analysts have reconfirmed their price target of kr269, implying that the uplift in revenue is not expected to greatly contribute to Aker BP's valuation in the near term. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic Aker BP analyst has a price target of kr325 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at kr205. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Aker BP shareholders.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. These estimates imply that revenue is expected to slow, with a forecast annualised decline of 9.0% by the end of 2025. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 33% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the industry are forecast to see their revenue decline 3.7% annually for the foreseeable future. The forecasts do look bearish for Aker BP, since they're expecting it to shrink faster than the industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. They also upgraded their estimates, with revenue apparently performing well, although it is expected to lag the wider industry this year. The consensus price target held steady at kr269, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Aker BP analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Plus, you should also learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Aker BP (including 1 which can't be ignored) .

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.