Vår Energi (VAR) Stock Overview
Operates as an independent upstream oil and gas company on the Norwegian continental shelf in Norway. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 4/6 |
| Future Growth | 1/6 |
| Past Performance | 5/6 |
| Financial Health | 3/6 |
| Dividends | 4/6 |
VAR Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 90 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Top Community Narratives
Vår Energi
13.4% overvalued intrinsic discount
Vår Energi will deliver explosive growth with 20% production rise by 2025
View narrativeDA
Published 20 Sep 2025
Vår Energi ASA Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | NOK 53.30 |
| 52 Week High | NOK 53.16 |
| 52 Week Low | NOK 31.00 |
| Beta | -0.48 |
| 1 Month Change | 9.65% |
| 3 Month Change | 13.36% |
| 1 Year Change | 58.91% |
| 3 Year Change | 61.12% |
| 5 Year Change | n/a |
| Change since IPO | 92.28% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Aug 26
VAR: BlueNord Merger And New Wells Program Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have reduced their average price target on Vår Energi from NOK 60 to NOK 55, citing higher perceived balance sheet pressure following the BlueNord acquisition, as well as slightly more conservative assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth and profit margins, alongside a modestly higher future P/E multiple. What’s in the News for Vår Energi BlueNord shareholders approved the merger plan with Vår Energi 1 AS at an Extraordinary General Meeting.
Narrative Update • Aug 07
VAR: BlueNord Merger And Rising Leverage Will Pressure Future Returns
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Vår Energi, with the implied price target moving from about NOK 39.18 to roughly NOK 41.37. This reflects updated views on balance sheet pressure following the BlueNord acquisition and a higher expected future P/E multiple despite softer revenue growth and profit margins.Recent updates
Narrative Update • Aug 26
VAR: BlueNord Merger And New Wells Program Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have reduced their average price target on Vår Energi from NOK 60 to NOK 55, citing higher perceived balance sheet pressure following the BlueNord acquisition, as well as slightly more conservative assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth and profit margins, alongside a modestly higher future P/E multiple. What’s in the News for Vår Energi BlueNord shareholders approved the merger plan with Vår Energi 1 AS at an Extraordinary General Meeting.Narrative Update • Aug 07
VAR: BlueNord Merger And Rising Leverage Will Pressure Future Returns
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Vår Energi, with the implied price target moving from about NOK 39.18 to roughly NOK 41.37. This reflects updated views on balance sheet pressure following the BlueNord acquisition and a higher expected future P/E multiple despite softer revenue growth and profit margins.Narrative Update • Jul 24
VAR: Merger With BlueNord And New Projects Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Vår Energi from NOK 46.21 to NOK 60.33, citing updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations, alongside mixed recent rating changes on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Vår Energi reflects a mix of views, with some analysts pointing to balance sheet pressure linked to the BlueNord acquisition, while others highlight potential upside scenarios.Analysis Article • Jul 24
Vår Energi ASA Just Beat EPS By 55%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
Shareholders of Vår Energi ASA ( OB:VAR ) will be pleased this week, given that the stock price is up 13% to kr49.30...Narrative Update • Jul 10
VAR: Gjøa Hub Projects And Portfolio Shift Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their average 12 month price target for Vår Energi to NOK 39.18 from NOK 40.71, reflecting slightly lower fair value assumptions, a modestly reduced future P/E outlook, and updated expectations for revenue growth and profit margins. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Vår Energi shows a mix of optimism and caution, with some firms adjusting targets and ratings as they refresh assumptions on valuation, growth prospects, and execution risks.Narrative Update • Jun 26
VAR: Portfolio High Grading And New Wells Will Shape Balanced Outlook
The analyst price target for Vår Energi has been revised from about NOK 26 to roughly NOK 41, as analysts factor in updated assumptions around discount rates, profit margins, and future P/E, alongside a mix of recent rating changes and target tweaks from the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Vår Energi reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with some firms upgrading their stance while others trim price targets.Analysis Article • Jun 18
Vår Energi (OB:VAR) Stock Could Be 11.7% Undervalued After Balder Next New Wells Decision
Vår Energi (OB:VAR) has approved a final investment decision for the Balder Next New Wells project in the North Sea, a new phase targeting 86 million barrels of oil equivalent tied to existing infrastructure. See our latest analysis for Vår Energi. At a share price of NOK43.31, Vår Energi has given investors a year to date share price return of 29.67%, while the 1 year total shareholder return of 43.42% and 3 year total shareholder return of 139.66% point to momentum that has been building...
Narrative Update • Jun 05
VAR: Project Execution And Steady Volumes Will Shape Balanced Future Returns
Analysts have nudged their average price target for Vår Energi higher to around NOK 49. This reflects a slightly higher assumed fair value and profit margin, set against more cautious revenue growth assumptions and a modestly higher discount rate after a mix of recent upgrades and one downgrade.Narrative Update • Apr 18
VAR: Higher 2026 Volumes And Rising Production Targets Will Drive Returns
Analysts have adjusted the fair value estimate for Vår Energi to NOK 47.22 from NOK 44.72 as updated revenue growth, profit margin and forward P/E assumptions have shifted, alongside a slightly lower discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Vår Energi shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several price target revisions and rating changes that feed directly into how analysts think about valuation, execution risk and growth potential.Narrative Update • Apr 03
VAR: Higher 2026 Volumes And Mixed Execution Risks Will Shape Returns
Analysts have raised the implied fair value for Vår Energi from NOK 38.93 to NOK 44.72, citing updated assumptions on growth, margins and future P/E multiples, as well as a mix of both higher and lower price targets in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Vår Energi shows a split view, with some analysts lifting price targets and ratings while others are taking a more cautious stance with downgrades and lower targets.Narrative Update • Mar 18
VAR: 2026 Production Targets And Sector Headwinds Will Limit Upside
The updated analyst price target for Vår Energi implies an increase in estimated fair value to about NOK 39 from roughly NOK 38, supported by mixed but generally higher Street targets in a NOK 25 to NOK 44 range as analysts adjust for revised growth, profitability and sector views. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Vår Energi shows a split view, with some firms lifting price targets while others cut ratings and targets.Narrative Update • Mar 04
VAR: Dividends And 2026 Production Plans Will Support Balanced Outlook
The analyst price target for Vår Energi has been revised from NOK 36.44 to NOK 37.52, with analysts citing updated sector views and mixed broker targets ranging from NOK 25 to NOK 40 as key factors behind the change. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Vår Energi reflects a split view, with some analysts lifting price targets and others moving to more cautious stances.Analysis Article • Feb 17
We Think Vår Energi's (OB:VAR) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve
The subdued stock price reaction suggests that Vår Energi ASA's ( OB:VAR ) strong earnings didn't offer any surprises...Analysis Article • Feb 13
Vår Energi ASA Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
The analysts might have been a bit too bullish on Vår Energi ASA ( OB:VAR ), given that the company fell short of...New Narrative • Jan 28
Future Production And Cost Risks Will Undermine Long Term Norwegian Shelf Ambitions
Catalysts About Vår Energi Vår Energi is an oil and gas producer focused on the Norwegian Continental Shelf with a diversified asset base, significant gas exports and an active program of development and exploration projects. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Jan 27
VAR: Dividends And 2028 To 2029 Projects Will Support Balanced Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Vår Energi from about NOK 38.93 to around NOK 36.44, as updated sector views and a softer oil price outlook feed through to lower assumed fair value and P/E multiples, even while their models reflect adjusted expectations for revenue growth and profit margins. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Vår Energi points to a mixed view, with some focusing on long term sector positioning and others emphasizing valuation risk at current levels.Narrative Update • Jan 12
VAR: Dividend And New Projects Will Support Stronger 2030 Production Profile
Narrative Update Analysts have nudged their price target on Vår Energi higher, with one recent update moving from NOK 33 to NOK 34. This reflects adjusted views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions.Narrative Update • Dec 15
VAR: Project Pipeline Will Lift 2030 Production 18% Above Market Estimates
Analysts have nudged their price target on Vår Energi slightly higher, reflecting an upward bias from NOK 33 to NOK 34 at the lower end, and a more bullish NOK 46 target, supported by expectations of a steadily expanding project pipeline and production profile through 2030. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates present a mixed but constructive picture, with price targets now clustered in the mid 30s to mid 40s.Narrative Update • Nov 30
VAR: Production Will Surpass Market Estimates As Project Pipeline Delivers Through 2030
Analysts have slightly increased their price target for Vår Energi, raising it by NOK 0.17 to NOK 38.97. This change is attributed to generally more optimistic outlooks on the company’s project pipeline and future production growth estimates.Narrative Update • Nov 16
VAR: Production Will Outperform Consensus As Project Pipeline Expands
The average analyst price target for Vår Energi has increased modestly from NOK 38.49 to NOK 38.80. This change reflects improved growth expectations and a lower perceived discount rate according to recent analyst research.Narrative Update • Oct 31
VAR: Production Pipeline Expansion Will Drive Output Higher Through The Decade
Vår Energi's analyst price target has been revised slightly lower, dropping from NOK 39.15 to NOK 38.49, as analysts consider more measured expectations for revenue growth and profit margins. This comes despite an ongoing split in outlooks across the Street.Narrative Update • Oct 17
Jotun FPSO And Johan Castberg Ramps Will Boost Industry Potential
Analysts have raised the fair value price target for Vår Energi from NOK 38.62 to NOK 39.15, citing a combination of improved profit margin outlooks and updated perspectives on the company's growth trajectory. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst coverage of Vår Energi presents a balanced perspective, with optimistic and cautious viewpoints shaping sentiment around the stock’s valuation, growth and execution potential.Narrative Update • Oct 03
Jotun FPSO And Johan Castberg Ramps Will Boost Industry Potential
Vår Energi's fair value estimate has risen from NOK 37.05 to NOK 38.62. Analysts cite modest project pipeline growth and production estimates above market consensus as key drivers for the upward revision.Narrative Update • Sep 16
Jotun FPSO And Johan Castberg Ramps Will Boost Industry Potential
A sharp increase in Vår Energi’s future P/E ratio, likely reflecting lower earnings expectations, has driven a slight decrease in the consensus analyst price target from NOK38.07 to NOK37.05. What's in the News Jotun FPSO reached peak production ahead of schedule, now producing over 80 kboepd gross, supporting ongoing development of the Balder field, with Balder Phase V and VI projects underway to maintain high output.Narrative Update • Aug 28
Jotun FPSO And Johan Castberg Ramps Will Boost Industry Potential
Vår Energi's consensus analyst price target was largely unchanged despite a dramatic increase in its Future P/E, suggesting sharply reduced earnings expectations, with fair value now at NOK38.60. What's in the News Vår Energi provided production guidance, targeting around 430 kboepd in Q4 2025 and expecting to reach the mid-point of its 2025 full-year guidance (330–360 kboepd); 2026 guidance at 400 kboepd and 350–400 kboepd for 2027–2030.
New Narrative • Feb 09
New Oil And Gas Projects Will Sustain Production Up To 400,000 Barrels Per Day Through 2030
Vår Energi expects production growth and strategic projects to boost long-term revenue and earnings through increased production capacity and low-cost operations.Shareholder Returns
| VAR | NO Oil and Gas | NO Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| 1Y | 58.9% | 62.5% | 23.2% |
Return vs Industry: VAR underperformed the Norwegian Oil and Gas industry which returned 62.5% over the past year.
Return vs Market: VAR exceeded the Norwegian Market which returned 23.2% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| VAR volatility | |
|---|---|
| VAR Average Weekly Movement | 5.0% |
| Oil and Gas Industry Average Movement | 5.5% |
| Market Average Movement | 4.7% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in NO Market | 10.4% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in NO Market | 2.6% |
Stable Share Price: VAR has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Norwegian market.
Volatility Over Time: VAR's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1965 | 1,433 | Nick Walker | varenergi.no |
Vår Energi ASA operates as an independent upstream oil and gas company on the Norwegian continental shelf in Norway. The company produces crude oil and natural gas liquids. It also engages in the production, development, and exploration assets on the Norwegian Continental Shelf (NCS).
Vår Energi ASA Fundamentals Summary
| VAR fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | NOK 132.46b |
| Earnings (TTM) | NOK 12.08b |
| Revenue (TTM) | NOK 98.55b |
11.0x
P/E Ratio1.4x
P/S RatioIs VAR overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| VAR income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$10.67b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$1.27b |
| Gross Profit | US$9.40b |
| Other Expenses | US$8.09b |
| Earnings | US$1.31b |
Last Reported Earnings
Jun 30, 2026
Next Earnings Date
Oct 21, 2026
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 0.52 |
| Gross Margin | 88.11% |
| Net Profit Margin | 12.26% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 296.9% |
How did VAR perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
8.4%
Current Dividend Yield46%
Payout RatioCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/09/10 17:30 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/09/10 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Vår Energi ASA is covered by 21 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| null null | ABG Sundal Collier |
| Naisheng Cui | Barclays |
| Lydia Rainforth | Barclays |