Stock Analysis

Is Akastor (OB:AKAST) Using Debt Sensibly?

OB:AKAST
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Akastor ASA (OB:AKAST) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Akastor

What Is Akastor's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Akastor had kr1.84b of debt in June 2022, down from kr2.06b, one year before. However, it does have kr277.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about kr1.56b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OB:AKAST Debt to Equity History September 15th 2022

How Healthy Is Akastor's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Akastor had liabilities of kr1.87b due within 12 months, and liabilities of kr1.53b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had kr277.0m in cash and kr79.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total kr3.05b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's kr2.79b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Akastor's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, Akastor reported revenue of kr1.0b, which is a gain of 21%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

Caveat Emptor

Even though Akastor managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. Indeed, it lost kr122m at the EBIT level. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it burned through kr230m in negative free cash flow over the last year. That means it's on the risky side of things. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Akastor you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.