Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Akastor ASA (OB:AKAST) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Akastor
What Is Akastor's Net Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2021, Akastor had kr2.17b of debt, up from kr1.90b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have kr219.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about kr1.95b.
How Strong Is Akastor's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Akastor had liabilities of kr3.96b due within a year, and liabilities of kr1.54b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had kr219.0m in cash and kr37.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total kr5.24b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the kr1.68b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Akastor would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Akastor can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
In the last year Akastor wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 108%, to kr4.6b. So its pretty obvious shareholders are hoping for more growth!
Caveat Emptor
Even though Akastor managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at kr16m. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. Of course, it may be able to improve its situation with a bit of luck and good execution. But we think that is unlikely since it is low on liquid assets, and made a loss of kr144m in the last year. So we think this stock is quite risky. We'd prefer to pass. For riskier companies like Akastor I always like to keep an eye on the long term profit and revenue trends. Fortunately, you can click to see our interactive graph of its profit, revenue, and operating cashflow.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OB:AKAST
Akastor
Operates as an oilfield services investment company in Norway and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.