Stock Analysis

Should You Investigate Hexagon Composites ASA (OB:HEX) At kr46.00?

OB:HEX
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Hexagon Composites ASA (OB:HEX), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price increase on the OB over the last few months. Less-covered, small caps sees more of an opportunity for mispricing due to the lack of information available to the public, which can be a good thing. So, could the stock still be trading at a low price relative to its actual value? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Hexagon Composites’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

Check out our latest analysis for Hexagon Composites

What is Hexagon Composites worth?

According to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average, the stock currently looks expensive. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Hexagon Composites’s ratio of 78.72x is above its peer average of 19.03x, which suggests the stock is trading at a higher price compared to the Machinery industry. Another thing to keep in mind is that Hexagon Composites’s share price is quite stable relative to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. This means that if you believe the current share price should move towards the levels of its industry peers over time, a low beta could suggest it is not likely to reach that level anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard for it to fall back down into an attractive buying range again.

What kind of growth will Hexagon Composites generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
OB:HEX Earnings and Revenue Growth August 9th 2020

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Hexagon Composites’s earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 74%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in HEX’s positive outlook, with shares trading above industry price multiples. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe HEX should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on HEX for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for HEX, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Hexagon Composites you should be mindful of and 1 of them can't be ignored.

If you are no longer interested in Hexagon Composites, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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