Stock Analysis

AutoStore Holdings' (OB:AUTO) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

OB:AUTO
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Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for AutoStore Holdings Ltd.'s (OB:AUTO) stock hasn't moved much. Our analysis suggests that shareholders have noticed something concerning in the numbers.

View our latest analysis for AutoStore Holdings

earnings-and-revenue-history
OB:AUTO Earnings and Revenue History August 26th 2022

Operating Revenue Or Not?

Companies will classify their revenue streams as either operating revenue or other revenue. Where possible, we prefer rely on operating revenue to get a better understanding of how the business is functioning. However, we note that when non-operating revenue increases suddenly, it will sometimes generate an unsustainable boost to profit. It's worth noting that AutoStore Holdings saw a big increase in non-operating revenue over the last year. In fact, our data indicates that non-operating revenue increased from -US$38.0m to US$100.0k. If that non-operating revenue fails to manifest in the current year, then there's a real risk the bottom line profit result will be impacted negatively. In order to better understand a company's profit result, it can sometimes help to consider whether the result would be very different without a sudden increase in non-operating revenue.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

On top of the non-operating revenue spike, we should also consider the US$35m impact of unusual items in the last year, which had the effect of suppressing profit. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. If AutoStore Holdings doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

Our Take On AutoStore Holdings' Profit Performance

In the last year AutoStore Holdings' non-operating revenue really gave it a boost, but not in a way that is necessarily going to be sustained. But on the other hand, it also saw an unusual item depress its profit, suggesting the statutory profit number will actually improve next year, if the unusual expenses are not repeated, and all else stays equal. Based on these factors, we think it's very unlikely that AutoStore Holdings' statutory profits make it seem much weaker than it is. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 2 warning signs with AutoStore Holdings, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

Our examination of AutoStore Holdings has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether AutoStore Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.