Stock Analysis

AF Gruppen (OB:AFG) Has Re-Affirmed Its Dividend Of kr6.50

OB:AFG
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AF Gruppen ASA (OB:AFG) has announced that it will pay a dividend of kr6.50 per share on the 25th of May. Based on this payment, the dividend yield on the company's stock will be 5.1%, which is an attractive boost to shareholder returns.

See our latest analysis for AF Gruppen

AF Gruppen Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Before making this announcement, the company's dividend was higher than its profits, and made up 79% of cash flows. The company could be more focused on returning cash to shareholders, but this could indicate that growth opportunities are few and far between.

Earnings per share is forecast to rise by 6.3% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could reach 114%, which probably can't continue putting some pressure on the balance sheet.

historic-dividend
OB:AFG Historic Dividend March 28th 2022

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The first annual payment during the last 10 years was kr4.50 in 2012, and the most recent fiscal year payment was kr10.50. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8.8% a year over that time. It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. AF Gruppen might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.

There Isn't Much Room To Grow The Dividend

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. It's encouraging to see AF Gruppen has been growing its earnings per share at 5.1% a year over the past five years. While EPS is growing at a decent rate, but future growth could be limited by the amount of earnings being paid out to shareholders.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. The track record isn't great, and the payments are a bit high to be considered sustainable. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For instance, we've picked out 2 warning signs for AF Gruppen that investors should take into consideration. Is AF Gruppen not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.