When close to half the companies in Norway have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 10x, you may consider AF Gruppen ASA (OB:AFG) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 41.4x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
AF Gruppen hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for AF Gruppen
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on AF Gruppen.How Is AF Gruppen's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as AF Gruppen's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 50%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 68% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 39% per year during the coming three years according to the sole analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 18% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why AF Gruppen is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Final Word
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of AF Gruppen's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for AF Gruppen that you need to be mindful of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than AF Gruppen. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OB:AFG
AF Gruppen
A contracting and industrial company, provides civil engineering, environmental, construction, property, energy, and offshore services in Norway and Sweden.
Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.