Is Now The Time To Look At Buying PostNL N.V. (AMS:PNL)?

While PostNL N.V. (AMS:PNL) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the ENXTAM over the last few months, increasing to €4.75 at one point, and dropping to the lows of €3.96. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether PostNL's current trading price of €3.96 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at PostNL’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for PostNL

What's the opportunity in PostNL?

Great news for investors – PostNL is still trading at a fairly cheap price. My valuation model shows that the intrinsic value for the stock is €5.79, but it is currently trading at €3.96 on the share market, meaning that there is still an opportunity to buy now. However, given that PostNL’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What kind of growth will PostNL generate?

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with an extremely negative double-digit change in profit expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth is certainly not a driver of a buy decision. It seems like high uncertainty is on the cards for PostNL, at least in the near future.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? Although PNL is currently undervalued, the negative outlook does bring on some uncertainty, which equates to higher risk. I recommend you think about whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to PNL, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on PNL for some time, but hesitant on making the leap, I recommend you dig deeper into the stock. Given its current undervaluation, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.

Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for PostNL (of which 2 are potentially serious!) you should know about.

If you are no longer interested in PostNL, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.