David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that PostNL N.V. (AMS:PNL) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for PostNL
What Is PostNL's Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that PostNL had €703.0m in debt in April 2022; about the same as the year before. However, it does have €882.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of €179.0m.
How Healthy Is PostNL's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that PostNL had liabilities of €903.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €1.13b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €882.0m and €356.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €794.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
PostNL has a market capitalization of €1.33b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, PostNL boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
It is just as well that PostNL's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 49% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if PostNL can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While PostNL has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, PostNL recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 90% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
Summing Up
Although PostNL's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of €179.0m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of €232m, being 90% of its EBIT. So we are not troubled with PostNL's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for PostNL (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ENXTAM:PNL
PostNL
Provides postal and logistics services to businesses and consumers in the Netherlands, rest of Europe, and internationally.
Reasonable growth potential with adequate balance sheet.