Universal Music Group N.V.

ENXTAM:UMG Stock Report

Market Cap: €49.5b

Universal Music Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Universal Music Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 0.1% and 6.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to decline by 0.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 33.4% in 3 years.

Key information

0.1%

Earnings growth rate

-0.32%

EPS growth rate

Entertainment earnings growth15.3%
Revenue growth rate6.2%
Future return on equity33.45%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated18 Jul 2025

Recent future growth updates

Results: Universal Music Group N.V. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Apr 01
Results: Universal Music Group N.V. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Results: Universal Music Group N.V. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

Mar 10
Results: Universal Music Group N.V. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

Recent updates

Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Universal Music Group N.V.'s (AMS:UMG) P/E Ratio

Jul 14
Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Universal Music Group N.V.'s (AMS:UMG) P/E Ratio

Should You Investigate Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG) At €27.32?

Jun 29
Should You Investigate Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG) At €27.32?

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG)

Jun 15
A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG)

Universal Music Group (AMS:UMG) Is Increasing Its Dividend To €0.28

May 19
Universal Music Group (AMS:UMG) Is Increasing Its Dividend To €0.28

Is Universal Music Group (AMS:UMG) Using Too Much Debt?

May 13
Is Universal Music Group (AMS:UMG) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Now The Time To Put Universal Music Group (AMS:UMG) On Your Watchlist?

Apr 29
Is Now The Time To Put Universal Music Group (AMS:UMG) On Your Watchlist?

Results: Universal Music Group N.V. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Apr 01
Results: Universal Music Group N.V. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Mar 26
Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Results: Universal Music Group N.V. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

Mar 10
Results: Universal Music Group N.V. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

A Look At The Fair Value Of Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG)

Feb 27
A Look At The Fair Value Of Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG)

Universal Music Group (AMS:UMG) Knows How To Allocate Capital

Feb 05
Universal Music Group (AMS:UMG) Knows How To Allocate Capital

Does Universal Music Group (AMS:UMG) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

Jan 15
Does Universal Music Group (AMS:UMG) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

At €24.70, Is Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG) Worth Looking At Closely?

Dec 30
At €24.70, Is Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG) Worth Looking At Closely?

A Look At The Fair Value Of Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG)

Nov 27
A Look At The Fair Value Of Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG)
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Innovative Streaming And Global Expansion Set To Boost Engagement And Drive Earnings Growth

Universal Music Group's focus on an artist-centric strategy and innovative streaming plans is set to boost revenue via enhanced customer engagement and monetization.

Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG)

Oct 15
Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Universal Music Group N.V. (AMS:UMG)

A Look Into Universal Music Group's (AMS:UMG) Impressive Returns On Capital

Oct 02
A Look Into Universal Music Group's (AMS:UMG) Impressive Returns On Capital

Universal Music Group (AMS:UMG) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Sep 19
Universal Music Group (AMS:UMG) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Here's Why We Think Universal Music Group (AMS:UMG) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

Sep 05
Here's Why We Think Universal Music Group (AMS:UMG) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ENXTAM:UMG - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202714,2561,9381,9972,66015
12/31/202613,3441,7712,0982,44318
12/31/202512,3671,4771,8112,11118
12/31/202411,8342,0861,5721,755N/A
9/30/202411,6601,8171,5311,691N/A
6/30/202411,4861,5481,4891,627N/A
3/31/202411,2971,4041,6271,756N/A
12/31/202311,1081,2591,7641,885N/A
9/30/202310,9311,2131,7061,819N/A
6/30/202310,7541,1661,6471,753N/A
3/31/202310,5479741,6431,743N/A
12/31/202210,3407821,6391,732N/A
9/30/20229,8747291,4111,497N/A
6/30/20229,4076751,1831,262N/A
3/31/20229,0628721,4211,491N/A
12/31/20218,5048861,0791,140N/A
9/30/20218,1549851,1151,171N/A
6/30/20217,8041,0831,1501,202N/A
3/31/20217,4721,41283140N/A
12/31/20207,4321,366860926N/A
12/31/20197,159972610685N/A
1/1/20196,023897637747N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: UMG's forecast earnings growth (0.1% per year) is below the savings rate (1.5%).

Earnings vs Market: UMG's earnings (0.1% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Dutch market (9.4% per year).

High Growth Earnings: UMG's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: UMG's revenue (6.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Dutch market (7.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: UMG's revenue (6.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: UMG's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (33.4%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/07/21 20:28
End of Day Share Price 2025/07/21 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Universal Music Group N.V. is covered by 31 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
JULIEN ROCHBarclays
William PackerBNP Paribas Exane
Adrien de Saint HilaireBofA Global Research