Stock Analysis

Heineken (AMS:HEIA) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

ENXTAM:HEIA
Source: Shutterstock

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Heineken N.V. (AMS:HEIA) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Heineken

What Is Heineken's Debt?

As you can see below, Heineken had €15.1b of debt at December 2022, down from €15.8b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of €2.77b, its net debt is less, at about €12.4b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ENXTAM:HEIA Debt to Equity History March 27th 2023

How Strong Is Heineken's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Heineken had liabilities of €14.2b due within a year, and liabilities of €16.3b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €2.77b as well as receivables valued at €4.13b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €23.6b.

This deficit isn't so bad because Heineken is worth a massive €55.5b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

We'd say that Heineken's moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 2.2), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its commanding EBIT of 10.2 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. We note that Heineken grew its EBIT by 26% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Heineken can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Heineken produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 74% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Happily, Heineken's impressive EBIT growth rate implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Heineken is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Heineken you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Heineken might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ENXTAM:HEIA

Heineken

Heineken N.V. brews and sells beer and cider in the Americas, Europe, Africa, the Middle East, Eastern Europe, and the Asia Pacific.

Moderate growth potential with mediocre balance sheet.

Community Narratives

AstraZeneca's Oncology and Obesity Innovations Will Drive Revenue Growth by 10%
Fair Value SEK 2.55k|37.875% undervalued
Unike
Unike
Community Contributor
Leading the Charge in SME SaaS Innovation
Fair Value SEK 100.02|24.815% undervalued
Investingwilly
Investingwilly
Community Contributor
Brookfield Corporation is a solid BUY for a long-term portfolio
Fair Value CA$82.23|4.8887% overvalued
Jonataninho
Jonataninho
Community Contributor