Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Koninklijke Vopak (AMS:VPK) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

ENXTAM:VPK
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Koninklijke Vopak N.V. (AMS:VPK) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Koninklijke Vopak

How Much Debt Does Koninklijke Vopak Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Koninklijke Vopak had €2.36b in debt in December 2022; about the same as the year before. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ENXTAM:VPK Debt to Equity History April 13th 2023

How Healthy Is Koninklijke Vopak's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Koninklijke Vopak had liabilities of €1.16b falling due within a year, and liabilities of €2.69b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €33.8m as well as receivables valued at €326.2m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €3.49b.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of €4.32b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Koninklijke Vopak's debt is 3.6 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 3.4 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. On a slightly more positive note, Koninklijke Vopak grew its EBIT at 18% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Koninklijke Vopak's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Koninklijke Vopak recorded free cash flow worth 73% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Koninklijke Vopak's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real positive on this analysis, as was its EBIT growth rate. Having said that, its interest cover somewhat sensitizes us to potential future risks to the balance sheet. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Koninklijke Vopak's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Koninklijke Vopak has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Koninklijke Vopak might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ENXTAM:VPK

Koninklijke Vopak

An independent tank storage company, stores and handles liquid chemicals, gases, and oil products to the energy and manufacturing markets worldwide.

Established dividend payer and slightly overvalued.