Stock Analysis

Is SBM Offshore (AMS:SBMO) A Risky Investment?

ENXTAM:SBMO
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies SBM Offshore N.V. (AMS:SBMO) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for SBM Offshore

What Is SBM Offshore's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2023 SBM Offshore had US$9.21b of debt, an increase on US$8.52b, over one year. However, it also had US$543.0m in cash, and so its net debt is US$8.66b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ENXTAM:SBMO Debt to Equity History April 4th 2024

How Healthy Is SBM Offshore's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, SBM Offshore had liabilities of US$2.80b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$8.85b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$543.0m and US$8.44b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$2.66b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of US$2.88b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Weak interest cover of 2.1 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 7.1 hit our confidence in SBM Offshore like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. On a slightly more positive note, SBM Offshore grew its EBIT at 19% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine SBM Offshore's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, SBM Offshore burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, SBM Offshore's net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. We're quite clear that we consider SBM Offshore to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example SBM Offshore has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are concerning) we think you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.