Stock Analysis

Just Eat Takeaway.com N.V. (AMS:TKWY) Stock Catapults 25% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry

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ENXTAM:TKWY

Just Eat Takeaway.com N.V. (AMS:TKWY) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 4.2% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies operating in the Netherlands' Hospitality industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.1x, you may still consider Just Eat Takeaway.com as an attractive investment with its 0.6x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for Just Eat Takeaway.com

ENXTAM:TKWY Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 16th 2024

What Does Just Eat Takeaway.com's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Just Eat Takeaway.com's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Just Eat Takeaway.com's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Just Eat Takeaway.com would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 4.1%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 64% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 4.6% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 7.2% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Just Eat Takeaway.com's P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What Does Just Eat Takeaway.com's P/S Mean For Investors?

Just Eat Takeaway.com's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As expected, our analysis of Just Eat Takeaway.com's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Just Eat Takeaway.com you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.