We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad's (KLSE:TRIMODE) Earnings
Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad's (KLSE:TRIMODE) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. Our analysis suggests that this might be because shareholders have noticed some concerning underlying factors.
See our latest analysis for Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad
Zooming In On Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad's Earnings
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
For the year to December 2020, Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad had an accrual ratio of 0.32. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of RM21m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of RM5.47m. It's worth noting that Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad generated positive FCF of RM418k a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad's Profit Performance
Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But the happy news is that, while acknowledging we have to look beyond the statutory numbers, those numbers are still improving, with EPS growing at a very high rate over the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you want to do dive deeper into Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be familiar with.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.
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About KLSE:TRIMODE
Tri-Mode System (M) Berhad
Provides integrated logistics services in Malaysia and internationally.
Moderate unattractive dividend payer.