Stock Analysis

Omesti Berhad (KLSE:OMESTI) Stock Rockets 41% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

KLSE:OMESTI
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The Omesti Berhad (KLSE:OMESTI) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 41%. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 46% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Omesti Berhad's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Malaysia's Electronic industry is similar at about 1.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Omesti Berhad

ps-multiple-vs-industry
KLSE:OMESTI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 19th 2024

How Omesti Berhad Has Been Performing

For example, consider that Omesti Berhad's financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as revenue growth is non-existent. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this benign revenue growth rate might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Omesti Berhad, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Omesti Berhad's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Omesti Berhad's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Whilst it's an improvement, it wasn't enough to get the company out of the hole it was in, with revenue down 51% overall from three years ago. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 39% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Omesti Berhad is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What Does Omesti Berhad's P/S Mean For Investors?

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Omesti Berhad's P/S is back within range of the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

The fact that Omesti Berhad currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Omesti Berhad you should be aware of, and 3 of them are concerning.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.