Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Censof Holdings Berhad (KLSE:CENSOF) With Shares Advancing 28%

Censof Holdings Berhad (KLSE:CENSOF) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 57%.

Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies in Malaysia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may consider Censof Holdings Berhad as a stock to avoid entirely with its 44.2x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

For example, consider that Censof Holdings Berhad's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Censof Holdings Berhad

pe-multiple-vs-industry
KLSE:CENSOF Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 11th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Censof Holdings Berhad will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Censof Holdings Berhad's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Censof Holdings Berhad's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 22%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 84% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 17% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Censof Holdings Berhad is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Censof Holdings Berhad's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Censof Holdings Berhad currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Having said that, be aware Censof Holdings Berhad is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

You might be able to find a better investment than Censof Holdings Berhad. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About KLSE:CENSOF

Censof Holdings Berhad

An investment holding company, engages in the design, development, implementation, and marketing of financial management software in Malaysia, Singapore, and Indonesia.

Excellent balance sheet with low risk.

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