Stock Analysis

A Rising Share Price Has Us Looking Closely At FoundPac Group Berhad's (KLSE:FPGROUP) P/E Ratio

KLSE:FPGROUP

FoundPac Group Berhad (KLSE:FPGROUP) shares have continued recent momentum with a 39% gain in the last month alone. That's tops off a massive gain of 249% in the last year.

Assuming no other changes, a sharply higher share price makes a stock less attractive to potential buyers. While the market sentiment towards a stock is very changeable, in the long run, the share price will tend to move in the same direction as earnings per share. So some would prefer to hold off buying when there is a lot of optimism towards a stock. One way to gauge market expectations of a stock is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). A high P/E implies that investors have high expectations of what a company can achieve compared to a company with a low P/E ratio.

See our latest analysis for FoundPac Group Berhad

How Does FoundPac Group Berhad's P/E Ratio Compare To Its Peers?

FoundPac Group Berhad's P/E is 28.90. As you can see below FoundPac Group Berhad has a P/E ratio that is fairly close for the average for the semiconductor industry, which is 30.5.

KLSE:FPGROUP Price Estimation Relative to Market, December 17th 2019

Its P/E ratio suggests that FoundPac Group Berhad shareholders think that in the future it will perform about the same as other companies in its industry classification. The company could surprise by performing better than average, in the future. I would further inform my view by checking insider buying and selling., among other things.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

If earnings fall then in the future the 'E' will be lower. That means even if the current P/E is low, it will increase over time if the share price stays flat. Then, a higher P/E might scare off shareholders, pushing the share price down.

FoundPac Group Berhad's 78% EPS improvement over the last year was like bamboo growth after rain; rapid and impressive. Unfortunately, earnings per share are down 10% a year, over 3 years.

Don't Forget: The P/E Does Not Account For Debt or Bank Deposits

It's important to note that the P/E ratio considers the market capitalization, not the enterprise value. That means it doesn't take debt or cash into account. The exact same company would hypothetically deserve a higher P/E ratio if it had a strong balance sheet, than if it had a weak one with lots of debt, because a cashed up company can spend on growth.

While growth expenditure doesn't always pay off, the point is that it is a good option to have; but one that the P/E ratio ignores.

How Does FoundPac Group Berhad's Debt Impact Its P/E Ratio?

Since FoundPac Group Berhad holds net cash of RM38m, it can spend on growth, justifying a higher P/E ratio than otherwise.

The Verdict On FoundPac Group Berhad's P/E Ratio

FoundPac Group Berhad has a P/E of 28.9. That's higher than the average in its market, which is 14.6. Its net cash position is the cherry on top of its superb EPS growth. To us, this is the sort of company that we would expect to carry an above average price tag (relative to earnings). What we know for sure is that investors have become much more excited about FoundPac Group Berhad recently, since they have pushed its P/E ratio from 20.8 to 28.9 over the last month. For those who prefer to invest with the flow of momentum, that might mean it's time to put the stock on a watchlist, or research it. But the contrarian may see it as a missed opportunity.

Investors have an opportunity when market expectations about a stock are wrong. As value investor Benjamin Graham famously said, 'In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine. Although we don't have analyst forecasts shareholders might want to examine this detailed historical graph of earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Of course you might be able to find a better stock than FoundPac Group Berhad. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.