Stock Analysis

There May Be Reason For Hope In Atlan Holdings Bhd's (KLSE:ATLAN) Disappointing Earnings

KLSE:ATLAN
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Soft earnings didn't appear to concern Atlan Holdings Bhd's (KLSE:ATLAN) shareholders over the last week. We think that the softer headline numbers might be getting counterbalanced by some positive underlying factors.

View our latest analysis for Atlan Holdings Bhd

earnings-and-revenue-history
KLSE:ATLAN Earnings and Revenue History May 2nd 2024

Zooming In On Atlan Holdings Bhd's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

For the year to February 2024, Atlan Holdings Bhd had an accrual ratio of -0.18. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of RM80m, well over the RM20.3m it reported in profit. Atlan Holdings Bhd's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Atlan Holdings Bhd.

Our Take On Atlan Holdings Bhd's Profit Performance

Happily for shareholders, Atlan Holdings Bhd produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Because of this, we think Atlan Holdings Bhd's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! On the other hand, its EPS actually shrunk in the last twelve months. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Atlan Holdings Bhd at this point in time. For example, Atlan Holdings Bhd has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Atlan Holdings Bhd's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Atlan Holdings Bhd is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.