Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Land & General Berhad (KLSE:L&G) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Land & General Berhad
What Is Land & General Berhad's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2020 Land & General Berhad had RM219.4m of debt, an increase on RM204.6m, over one year. However, it also had RM99.2m in cash, and so its net debt is RM120.1m.
A Look At Land & General Berhad's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Land & General Berhad had liabilities of RM212.7m due within a year, and liabilities of RM219.2m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of RM99.2m and RM95.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by RM237.2m.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of RM356.8m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Land & General Berhad's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
While Land & General Berhad's debt to EBITDA ratio of 7.1 suggests a heavy debt load, its interest coverage of 7.6 implies it services that debt with ease. Overall we'd say it seems likely the company is carrying a fairly heavy swag of debt. Importantly, Land & General Berhad's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 47% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Land & General Berhad will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Land & General Berhad saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
To be frank both Land & General Berhad's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its interest cover is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, it seems to us that Land & General Berhad's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Land & General Berhad (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About KLSE:L&G
Land & General Berhad
An investment holding company, engages in the property development business in Malaysia and Australia.
Excellent balance sheet slight.