UEM Sunrise Berhad's (KLSE:UEMS) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 28.8x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Malaysia, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 14x and even P/E's below 9x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, UEM Sunrise Berhad has been doing relatively well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for UEM Sunrise Berhad
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like UEM Sunrise Berhad's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 103% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 5.5% each year over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 12% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
In light of this, it's alarming that UEM Sunrise Berhad's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Final Word
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
Our examination of UEM Sunrise Berhad's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for UEM Sunrise Berhad that we have uncovered.
You might be able to find a better investment than UEM Sunrise Berhad. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KLSE:UEMS
UEM Sunrise Berhad
An investment holding company, engages in the township and property development business in Malaysia, Australia, Singapore, and South Africa.
Solid track record with imperfect balance sheet.
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