Stock Analysis

Pasdec Holdings Berhad's (KLSE:PASDEC) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon

KLSE:PASDEC
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When close to half the companies in Malaysia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 15x, you may consider Pasdec Holdings Berhad (KLSE:PASDEC) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 19.6x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

Pasdec Holdings Berhad certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Pasdec Holdings Berhad

pe-multiple-vs-industry
KLSE:PASDEC Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 30th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Pasdec Holdings Berhad's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Pasdec Holdings Berhad's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Pasdec Holdings Berhad's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 210%. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 93% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 17% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's alarming that Pasdec Holdings Berhad's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Pasdec Holdings Berhad's P/E

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Pasdec Holdings Berhad currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Pasdec Holdings Berhad (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Pasdec Holdings Berhad's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.