Stock Analysis
Astro Malaysia Holdings Berhad (KLSE:ASTRO) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Astro Malaysia Holdings Berhad (KLSE:ASTRO) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Astro Malaysia Holdings Berhad
How Much Debt Does Astro Malaysia Holdings Berhad Carry?
As you can see below, Astro Malaysia Holdings Berhad had RM1.80b of debt, at July 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of RM892.4m, its net debt is less, at about RM910.8m.
A Look At Astro Malaysia Holdings Berhad's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Astro Malaysia Holdings Berhad had liabilities of RM1.19b due within 12 months and liabilities of RM3.25b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of RM892.4m and RM658.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling RM2.89b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the RM1.25b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Astro Malaysia Holdings Berhad would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
While Astro Malaysia Holdings Berhad has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 2.2, its interest cover seems weak, at 1.6. This does have us wondering if the company pays high interest because it is considered risky. In any case, it's safe to say the company has meaningful debt. Importantly, Astro Malaysia Holdings Berhad's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 25% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Astro Malaysia Holdings Berhad's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Astro Malaysia Holdings Berhad actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
Our View
To be frank both Astro Malaysia Holdings Berhad's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. We're quite clear that we consider Astro Malaysia Holdings Berhad to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Astro Malaysia Holdings Berhad has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KLSE:ASTRO
Astro Malaysia Holdings Berhad
Through its subsidiaries, operates as a content and entertainment company in Malaysia and internationally.