Stock Analysis

PMB Technology Berhad (KLSE:PMBTECH) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

KLSE:PMBTECH
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that PMB Technology Berhad (KLSE:PMBTECH) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for PMB Technology Berhad

What Is PMB Technology Berhad's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2023 PMB Technology Berhad had RM699.6m of debt, an increase on RM515.1m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of RM71.9m, its net debt is less, at about RM627.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:PMBTECH Debt to Equity History September 20th 2023

A Look At PMB Technology Berhad's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that PMB Technology Berhad had liabilities of RM641.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of RM363.9m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of RM71.9m as well as receivables valued at RM304.3m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling RM628.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given PMB Technology Berhad has a market capitalization of RM5.07b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.6, it's fair to say PMB Technology Berhad does have a significant amount of debt. However, its interest coverage of 3.7 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. Worse, PMB Technology Berhad's EBIT was down 73% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine PMB Technology Berhad's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, PMB Technology Berhad saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

To be frank both PMB Technology Berhad's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least its level of total liabilities is not so bad. We're quite clear that we consider PMB Technology Berhad to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for PMB Technology Berhad (2 make us uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.