Capital Allocation Trends At PETRONAS Chemicals Group Berhad (KLSE:PCHEM) Aren't Ideal
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. In light of that, when we looked at PETRONAS Chemicals Group Berhad (KLSE:PCHEM) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for PETRONAS Chemicals Group Berhad, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.11 = RM5.1b ÷ (RM55b - RM6.8b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).
Therefore, PETRONAS Chemicals Group Berhad has an ROCE of 11%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Chemicals industry average of 7.4% it's much better.
View our latest analysis for PETRONAS Chemicals Group Berhad
Above you can see how the current ROCE for PETRONAS Chemicals Group Berhad compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
SWOT Analysis for PETRONAS Chemicals Group Berhad
- Debt is not viewed as a risk.
- Dividends are covered by earnings and cash flows.
- Dividend is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the market.
- Earnings declined over the past year.
- Good value based on P/E ratio compared to estimated Fair P/E ratio.
- Annual earnings are forecast to decline for the next 3 years.
So How Is PETRONAS Chemicals Group Berhad's ROCE Trending?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at PETRONAS Chemicals Group Berhad, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 17%, but since then they've fallen to 11%. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.
The Bottom Line On PETRONAS Chemicals Group Berhad's ROCE
Even though returns on capital have fallen in the short term, we find it promising that revenue and capital employed have both increased for PETRONAS Chemicals Group Berhad. These trends don't appear to have influenced returns though, because the total return from the stock has been mostly flat over the last five years. As a result, we'd recommend researching this stock further to uncover what other fundamentals of the business can show us.
One more thing: We've identified 3 warning signs with PETRONAS Chemicals Group Berhad (at least 1 which is significant) , and understanding them would certainly be useful.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KLSE:PCHEM
PETRONAS Chemicals Group Berhad
An investment holding company, engages in production and sale of chemicals.
Excellent balance sheet and fair value.
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