Stock Analysis

We Think Nylex (Malaysia) Berhad (KLSE:NYLEX) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

KLSE:NYLEX
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Nylex (Malaysia) Berhad (KLSE:NYLEX) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Nylex (Malaysia) Berhad

What Is Nylex (Malaysia) Berhad's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Nylex (Malaysia) Berhad had RM200.6m in debt in February 2021; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has RM88.8m in cash leading to net debt of about RM111.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:NYLEX Debt to Equity History May 7th 2021

A Look At Nylex (Malaysia) Berhad's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Nylex (Malaysia) Berhad had liabilities of RM320.6m due within 12 months and liabilities of RM38.2m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of RM88.8m and RM224.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by RM46.0m.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Nylex (Malaysia) Berhad has a market capitalization of RM155.1m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While Nylex (Malaysia) Berhad's debt to EBITDA ratio (4.4) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 0.35, suggesting high leverage. In large part that's due to the company's significant depreciation and amortisation charges, which arguably mean its EBITDA is a very generous measure of earnings, and its debt may be more of a burden than it first appears. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. Worse, Nylex (Malaysia) Berhad's EBIT was down 74% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Nylex (Malaysia) Berhad's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Nylex (Malaysia) Berhad actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

Nylex (Malaysia) Berhad's EBIT growth rate and interest cover definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Nylex (Malaysia) Berhad is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 5 warning signs for Nylex (Malaysia) Berhad (2 are potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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