Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That LB Aluminium Berhad (KLSE:LBALUM) Is Using Debt Extensively

KLSE:LBALUM
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that LB Aluminium Berhad (KLSE:LBALUM) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for LB Aluminium Berhad

How Much Debt Does LB Aluminium Berhad Carry?

As you can see below, LB Aluminium Berhad had RM160.3m of debt, at October 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had RM36.0m in cash, and so its net debt is RM124.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KLSE:LBALUM Debt to Equity History February 24th 2021

How Strong Is LB Aluminium Berhad's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that LB Aluminium Berhad had liabilities of RM216.4m due within a year, and liabilities of RM56.9m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of RM36.0m as well as receivables valued at RM140.4m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total RM96.9m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since LB Aluminium Berhad has a market capitalization of RM176.4m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

LB Aluminium Berhad has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.1 which suggests a meaningful debt load. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 2.5 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. Worse, LB Aluminium Berhad's EBIT was down 37% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is LB Aluminium Berhad's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, LB Aluminium Berhad burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, LB Aluminium Berhad's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least its level of total liabilities is not so bad. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think LB Aluminium Berhad has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for LB Aluminium Berhad (of which 2 are a bit concerning!) you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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