Stock Analysis

Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As D'nonce Technology Bhd. (KLSE:DNONCE) Shares Dive 47%

KLSE:DNONCE
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D'nonce Technology Bhd. (KLSE:DNONCE) shares have had a horrible month, losing 47% after a relatively good period beforehand. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 41% share price drop.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, it's still not a stretch to say that D'nonce Technology Bhd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Packaging industry in Malaysia, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for D'nonce Technology Bhd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
KLSE:DNONCE Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 25th 2024

What Does D'nonce Technology Bhd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

We'd have to say that with no tangible growth over the last year, D'nonce Technology Bhd's revenue has been unimpressive. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this benign revenue growth rate might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on D'nonce Technology Bhd will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on D'nonce Technology Bhd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For D'nonce Technology Bhd?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, D'nonce Technology Bhd would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. This isn't what shareholders were looking for as it means they've been left with a 3.7% decline in revenue over the last three years in total. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 286% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that D'nonce Technology Bhd's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for D'nonce Technology Bhd looks to be in line with the rest of the Packaging industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

The fact that D'nonce Technology Bhd currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for D'nonce Technology Bhd you should be aware of, and 3 of them are significant.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether D'nonce Technology Bhd is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.