Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Daibochi Berhad (KLSE:DAIBOCI) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Daibochi Berhad
What Is Daibochi Berhad's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of October 2020, Daibochi Berhad had RM69.0m of debt, up from RM61.4m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has RM34.7m in cash leading to net debt of about RM34.3m.
How Strong Is Daibochi Berhad's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Daibochi Berhad had liabilities of RM168.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of RM29.3m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had RM34.7m in cash and RM103.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by RM59.6m.
Of course, Daibochi Berhad has a market capitalization of RM851.2m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Daibochi Berhad's net debt is only 0.39 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 20.9 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Better yet, Daibochi Berhad grew its EBIT by 134% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Daibochi Berhad's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Daibochi Berhad recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 92% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
Our View
The good news is that Daibochi Berhad's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! It looks Daibochi Berhad has no trouble standing on its own two feet, and it has no reason to fear its lenders. To our minds it has a healthy happy balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Daibochi Berhad you should know about.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About KLSE:SCIPACK
Scientex Packaging (Ayer Keroh) Berhad
Engages in the manufacture and marketing of flexible packaging materials in Malaysia, Australia, Thailand, Myanmar, Singapore, the Philippines, Myanmar, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.